La Liga

Saturday, 10 October 2026 at 20:00

Real Madrid

Team Performance 8 out of 10

Villarreal

Team Performance 5 out of 10

Real Madrid vs Villarreal Prediction & Stats | La Liga | 10/10

The encounter between Real Madrid and Villarreal is set to kick off at 20:00 on Saturday, 10/10.

This La Liga fixture offers an intriguing clash of form and tactics, with both sides eager to make a statement at this stage of the season.

Read our full prediction below and get some of the best betting insights based on statistics.

Our Recommended Bet

Our analysts at Betting.co.uk have examined key metrics and modelled the most likely match outcomes based on both teams' recent performance data.

This includes historical trends, home and away statistics, and efficiency in front of goal.

Have a look at our recommended bet and key insights below.

Recommended Bet

Under 8.5 Corners

Why we predict under 8.5 corners

Our suggested pick is Corners – Under 8.5 for the Real Madrid vs Villarreal fixture.

Neither side is expected to generate many corner kicks in this game. With a more measured pace and limited final-third entries, this match could finish with fewer than nine total corners.

Key Betting Insights

Real Madrid

11 matches against Villarreal ended in a draw
Scored 10 goals in their last 5 matches
Conceded in 5 of their last 5 matches

Villarreal

11 matches against Real Madrid ended in a draw
Scored 11 goals in their last 5 matches
Scored at least 1 goal in 5 consecutive matches

Under 8.5 Corners: 9/4

Stake £10.00 → Potential Return £32.50

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Match Result

1x2 Odds Comparison

1	X	2	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
4/11	9/2	11/2	2/7	5/2
1/4	9/2	6/1	2/7	12/5
1/3	9/2	7/1	3/10	5/2
1/3	11/2	6/1	3/10	2/1

Exclusive Bonus

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Real Madrid Preview

Real Madrid has completed 7 fixtures in the La Liga, securing 5 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses — an average of 2.14 points per game. In the La Liga, the team has scored 18 goals (2.57 per game) and conceded 8 (1.14 per game).

Across all competitions this season, Real Madrid has played 64 matches, scoring 139 goals (2.17 per match) and conceding 73 (1.14 per match).

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Real Madrid

Goals Scored: 139

Goals Conceded: 73

Average Goals Scored: 2.17

Average Goals Conceded: 1.14

Wins: 44

Goal Difference: 66

Date	Game	Result
20/09	Atlético Madrid 2 - 1 Real Madrid	L
15/09	Elche CF 2 - 3 Real Madrid	W
12/09	Real Madrid 4 - 1 Rayo Vallecano	W
08/09	Real Madrid 2 - 1 Inter Milan	W
04/09	Betis 1 - 0 Real Madrid	L

Real Madrid to win the match: 4/11

Stake £10.00 → Potential Return £13.64

Villarreal Preview

Across 7 La Liga matches, Villarreal has posted 2 victories, 2 stalemates, and 3 defeats, averaging 1.14 points per fixture. In those games they scored 13 (1.86 per match) and conceded 12 (1.71 per match).

During the whole 2026/27 campaign, Villarreal has earned 25 wins from 57 matches across all competitions, scoring 100 goals (1.75 per match) and conceding 82 (1.44 per match).

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Villarreal

Goals Scored: 100

Goals Conceded: 82

Average Goals Scored: 1.75

Average Goals Conceded: 1.44

Wins: 25

Goal Difference: 18

Date	Game	Result
20/09	Villarreal 3 - 1 Levante	W
17/09	Málaga 1 - 3 Villarreal	W
14/09	Villarreal 1 - 2 Betis	L
08/09	Borussia Dortmund 3 - 2 Villarreal	L
05/09	Villarreal 2 - 3 Deportivo La Coruña	L

Villarreal to win the match: 11/2

Stake £10.00 → Potential Return £65.00

Statistical Insights for Real Madrid vs Villarreal

Here's a statistical breakdown comparing each team's key metrics to the average.

From goal output and both teams to score rates to the results of their last 5 matches, these numbers offer a data-backed view to help identify betting value in the Real Madrid vs Villarreal fixture.

Key metrics

Team Form

Real Madrid

Spain - La Liga

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	L W W W L	1.8
Home	W W W W W	3
Away	L W L W W	1.8

Villarreal

Spain - La Liga

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	W W L L L	1.2
Home	W L L W L	1.2
Away	W L L D D	1

Favourite

Home Win

4/11

74.07%

Draw

9/2

18.52%

Away Win

6/1

14.71%

Key Metrics

Here's a breakdown of the core match metrics that often define betting value: goals scored, goals conceded, corners and cards.

Analysing these stats offers a sharper view of team tendencies and helps identify markets with consistent trends.

Key metrics

Goals Scored

Real Madrid

last 5 matches

Villarreal

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Villarreal scored +10% more goals than Real Madrid in the last 5 matches.

Real Madrid and Villarreal goals scored count, last 5 matches

Atlético Madrid

Elche CF

Rayo Vallecano

Inter Milan

Betis

Levante

Málaga

Betis

Borussia Dortmund

Deportivo La Coruña

Key metrics

Goals Conceded

Real Madrid

last 5 matches

Villarreal

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Villarreal conceded +43% more goals than Real Madrid in the last 5 matches.

Real Madrid and Villarreal goals conceded count, last 5 matches

Atlético Madrid

Elche CF

Rayo Vallecano

Inter Milan

Betis

Levante

Málaga

Betis

Borussia Dortmund

Deportivo La Coruña

Key metrics

Corners

Real Madrid

last 5 matches

Villarreal

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Villarreal received +16% more corners than Real Madrid in the last 5 matches.

Real Madrid and Villarreal corners count, last 5 matches

Atlético Madrid

Elche CF

Rayo Vallecano

Inter Milan

Betis

Levante

Málaga

Betis

Borussia Dortmund

Deportivo La Coruña

Key metrics

Cards

Real Madrid

last 5 matches

Villarreal

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Real Madrid received +13% more cards than Villarreal in the last 5 matches.

Real Madrid and Villarreal cards count, last 5 matches

Atlético Madrid

Elche CF

Rayo Vallecano

Inter Milan

Betis

Levante

Málaga

Betis

Borussia Dortmund

Deportivo La Coruña

Dave Kuzio Content Manager

Dave is an established football tipster and NCTJ and NCE qualified journalist. He has over 23 years experience writing for sports websites including Teletext Sport, and providing betting tips for some of the biggest football betting sites. For his sins, he is a Barnsley FC supporter and gets to as many games as possible with his two sons.