Sturm Graz vs Olympique de Marseille Prediction | Europa League | 22/10

The encounter between Sturm Graz and Olympique de Marseille is set to kick off at 17:45 on Thursday, 22/10, at Merkur Arena.

This Europa League fixture offers an intriguing clash of form and tactics, with both sides eager to make a statement at this stage of the season.

Read our full prediction below and get some of the best betting insights based on statistics.

Our Recommended Bet

Our analysts at Betting.co.uk have examined key metrics and modelled the most likely match outcomes based on both teams' recent performance data.

This includes historical trends, home and away statistics, and efficiency in front of goal.

Have a look at our recommended bet and key insights below.

Recommended Bet

Double Chance: Sturm Graz or Draw

Why we predict Double Chance 1X

Our recommended bet is Double Chance – 1X for the Sturm Graz vs Olympique de Marseille fixture.

Sturm Graz should have enough quality to avoid defeat, especially with home advantage on their side. Whether they win or draw, the hosts are well-placed to take something from this game.

Key Betting Insights

Sturm Graz

• Scored 8 goals in their last 5 matches
• Conceded in 3 of their last 5 matches
• Over 9.5 corners occurred in 3 of Sturm Graz's last 5 matches

Olympique de Marseille

• Scored 9 goals in their last 5 matches
• Under 10.5 corners landed in 5 of Olympique Marseille's last 5 matches
• Conceded in 4 of their last 5 matches

Double Chance: Sturm Graz or Draw: 5/6

Stake £10.00 → Potential Return £18.33

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Match Result

1x2 Odds Comparison

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
	11/4	13/5	10/11	8/13	11/10
	3/1	13/5	5/6	4/6	23/20
	3/1	11/4	5/6	4/7	5/4
	13/5	11/4	1/1	4/6	21/20

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Sturm Graz Preview

Sturm Graz is coming to the clash with Olympique de Marseille with the current statistics in the Europa League:

• Matches played: 2

• Wins: 0

• Draws: 1

• Losses: 1

• Goals Scored: 0 (Avg. 0)

• Goals Conceded: 3 (Avg. 1.5)

When having a broader look at Sturm Graz's performance in all competitions this year, the statistics are as follows:

• Matches played: 63

• Wins: 30

• Draws: 13

• Losses: 20

• Goals Scored: 93 (Avg. 1.48)

• Goals Conceded: 72 (Avg. 1.14)

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Sturm Graz

Goals Scored: 99

Goals Conceded: 73

Average Goals Scored: 1.55

Average Goals Conceded: 1.14

Wins: 31

Goal Difference: 26

Date	Game	Result
18/10	Sturm Graz 6 - 1 GAK	W
15/10	Bournemouth 3 - 0 Sturm Graz	L
10/10	Austria Wien 0 - 2 Sturm Graz	W
20/09	Salzburg 3 - 0 Sturm Graz	L
16/09	Sturm Graz 0 - 0 Rennes	D

Sturm Graz to win the match: 11/4

Stake £10.00 → Potential Return £37.50

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Olympique de Marseille Preview

On the other hand, Olympique de Marseille comes into this fixture with the following statistics in Europa League:

• Matches played: 2

• Wins: 0

• Draws: 0

• Losses: 2

• Goals Scored: 1 (Avg. 0.5)

• Goals Conceded: 5 (Avg. 2.5)

Across all competitions this season, the team boasts the following performance:

• Matches played: 55

• Wins: 26

• Draws: 7

• Losses: 22

• Goals Scored: 106 (Avg. 1.93)

• Goals Conceded: 76 (Avg. 1.38)

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Olympique de Marseille

Goals Scored: 111

Goals Conceded: 78

Average Goals Scored: 1.98

Average Goals Conceded: 1.39

Wins: 27

Goal Difference: 33

Date	Game	Result
18/10	Angers 2 - 5 Olympique de Marseille	W
15/10	Olympique de Marseille 0 - 1 Olympiakos Piraeus	L
11/10	Troyes 0 - 2 Olympique de Marseille	W
20/09	Olympique de Marseille 1 - 2 PSG	L
17/09	Beşiktaş 4 - 1 Olympique de Marseille	L

Olympique de Marseille to win the match: 10/11

Stake £10.00 → Potential Return £19.09

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Statistical Insights for Sturm Graz vs Olympique de Marseille

With at least one of the two sides yet to record a match in this competition, a like-for-like statistical comparison is not yet available for this fixture.

Recent form across all competitions still offers a useful reference point:

Key metrics

Team Form

Sturm Graz

Europe - Europa League

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	W L W L D	1.4
Home	W D W D W	2.2
Away	L W L W L	1.2

Olympique de Marseille

Europe - Europa League

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	W L W L L	1.2
Home	L L L W W	1.2
Away	W W L L L	1.2

Home Win

13/5

27.78%

Draw

11/4

27.03%

Favourite

Away Win

10/11

53.19%

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Key Metrics

Here's a breakdown of the core match metrics that often define betting value: goals scored, goals conceded, corners, and cards.

Analysing these stats offers a sharper view of team tendencies and helps identify markets with consistent trends.

Key metrics

Goals Scored

Sturm Graz

8

last 5 matches

Olympique de Marseille

9

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Olympique de Marseille scored +13% more goals than Sturm Graz in the last 5 matches.

Sturm Graz and Olympique de Marseille goals scored count, last 5 matches

▲

GAK

6

Bournemouth

0

Austria Wien

2

Salzburg

0

Rennes

0

5

Angers

0

Olympiakos Piraeus

2

Troyes

1

PSG

1

Beşiktaş

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Key metrics

Goals Conceded

Sturm Graz

7

last 5 matches

Olympique de Marseille

9

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Olympique de Marseille conceded +29% more goals than Sturm Graz in the last 5 matches.

Sturm Graz and Olympique de Marseille goals conceded count, last 5 matches

▲

GAK

1

Bournemouth

3

Austria Wien

0

Salzburg

3

Rennes

0

2

Angers

1

Olympiakos Piraeus

0

Troyes

2

PSG

4

Beşiktaş

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Key metrics

Corners

Sturm Graz

32

last 5 matches

Olympique de Marseille

23

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Sturm Graz received +39% more corners than Olympique de Marseille in the last 5 matches.

Sturm Graz and Olympique de Marseille corners count, last 5 matches

▲

GAK

7

Bournemouth

3

Austria Wien

9

Salzburg

8

Rennes

5

5

Angers

9

Olympiakos Piraeus

3

Troyes

3

PSG

3

Beşiktaş

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Key metrics

Cards

Sturm Graz

11

last 5 matches

Olympique de Marseille

8

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Sturm Graz received +38% more cards than Olympique de Marseille in the last 5 matches.

Sturm Graz and Olympique de Marseille cards count, last 5 matches

▲

GAK

2

Bournemouth

3

Austria Wien

2

Salzburg

2

Rennes

2

1

Angers

2

Olympiakos Piraeus

1

Troyes

3

PSG

1

Beşiktaş

Dave Kuzio Content Manager

Dave is an established football tipster and NCTJ and NCE qualified journalist. He has over 23 years experience writing for sports websites including Teletext Sport, and providing betting tips for some of the biggest football betting sites. For his sins, he is a Barnsley FC supporter and gets to as many games as possible with his two sons.