Valencia vs Athletic Prediction & Stats | La Liga | 17/10

The encounter between Valencia and Athletic is set to kick off at 20:00 on Saturday, 17/10.

This La Liga fixture offers an intriguing clash of form and tactics, with both sides eager to make a statement at this stage of the season.

Read our full prediction below and get some of the best betting insights based on statistics.

Our Recommended Bet

Our analysts at Betting.co.uk have examined key metrics and modelled the most likely match outcomes based on both teams' recent performance data.

This includes historical trends, home and away statistics, and efficiency in front of goal.

Have a look at our recommended bet and key insights below.

Recommended Bet

Under 1.5 Goals

Why we predict under 1.5 Goals

Our recommended bet is Under 1.5 Goals for the Valencia vs Athletic fixture.

This match could be a cautious affair, with limited attacking threat from either side. Strong defensive setups and a controlled tempo suggest a low-scoring outcome with no more than one goal.

Key Betting Insights

Valencia

• 13 matches against Athletic Bilbao ended in a draw
• Scored 5 goals in their last 5 matches
• Conceded in 4 of their last 5 matches

Athletic

• 13 matches against Valencia ended in a draw
• Scored 6 goals in their last 5 matches
• Undefeated in their last 4 clashes

Under 1.5 Goals: 2/1

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Match Result

1x2 Odds Comparison

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
	11/5	9/4	5/4	1/1	8/11
	12/5	9/4	6/5	21/20	8/11
	11/5	11/5	6/5	1/1	8/11
	12/5	5/2	11/10	10/11	4/6

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Valencia Preview

Valencia has completed 8 fixtures in the La Liga, securing 1 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses — an average of 0.63 points per game. In the La Liga, the team has scored 6 goals (0.75 per game) and conceded 15 (1.88 per game).

Across all competitions this season, Valencia has played 51 matches, scoring 64 goals (1.25 per match) and conceding 73 (1.43 per match).

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Valencia

Goals Scored: 64

Goals Conceded: 73

Average Goals Scored: 1.25

Average Goals Conceded: 1.43

Wins: 18

Goal Difference: -9

Date	Game	Result
11/10	Racing Santander 2 - 2 Valencia	D
20/09	Valencia 2 - 3 Real Sociedad	L
15/09	Deportivo Alavés 0 - 1 Valencia	W
11/09	Sevilla 1 - 0 Valencia	L
06/09	Valencia 0 - 5 Barcelona	L

Valencia to win the match: 11/5

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Athletic Preview

Across 6 La Liga matches, Athletic has posted 2 victories, 2 stalemates, and 2 defeats, averaging 1.33 points per fixture. In those games they scored 7 (1.17 per match) and conceded 6 (1 per match).

During the whole 2026/27 campaign, Athletic has earned 20 wins from 58 matches across all competitions, scoring 66 goals (1.14 per match) and conceding 89 (1.53 per match).

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Athletic

Goals Scored: 66

Goals Conceded: 89

Average Goals Scored: 1.14

Average Goals Conceded: 1.53

Wins: 20

Goal Difference: -23

Date	Game	Result
19/09	Athletic 0 - 0 Deportivo Alavés	D
12/09	Athletic 1 - 1 Elche CF	D
05/09	Athletic 3 - 0 Atlético Madrid	W
30/08	Celta de Vigo 0 - 2 Athletic	W
27/08	Barcelona 2 - 0 Athletic	L

Athletic to win the match: 5/4

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Statistical Insights for Valencia vs Athletic

Here's a statistical breakdown comparing each team's key metrics to the average.

From goal output and both teams to score rates to the results of their last 5 matches, these numbers offer a data-backed view to help identify betting value in the Valencia vs Athletic fixture.

Key metrics

Team Form

Valencia

Spain - La Liga

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	D L W L L	0.8
Home	L L L D W	0.8
Away	D W L L W	1.4

Athletic

Spain - La Liga

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	D D W W L	1.6
Home	D D W L D	1.2
Away	W L L L W	1.2

Home Win

11/5

31.75%

Draw

9/4

30.77%

Favourite

Away Win

6/5

45.87%

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Key Metrics

Here's a breakdown of the core match metrics that often define betting value: goals scored, goals conceded, corners and cards.

Analysing these stats offers a sharper view of team tendencies and helps identify markets with consistent trends.

Key metrics

Goals Scored

Valencia

5

last 5 matches

Athletic

6

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Athletic scored +20% more goals than Valencia in the last 5 matches.

Valencia and Athletic goals scored count, last 5 matches

▲

Racing Santander

2

Real Sociedad

2

Deportivo Alavés

1

Sevilla

0

Barcelona

0

0

Deportivo Alavés

1

Elche CF

3

Atlético Madrid

2

Celta de Vigo

0

Barcelona

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Key metrics

Goals Conceded

Valencia

11

last 5 matches

Athletic

3

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Valencia conceded +267% more goals than Athletic in the last 5 matches.

Valencia and Athletic goals conceded count, last 5 matches

▲

Racing Santander

2

Real Sociedad

3

Deportivo Alavés

0

Sevilla

1

Barcelona

5

0

Deportivo Alavés

1

Elche CF

0

Atlético Madrid

0

Celta de Vigo

2

Barcelona

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Key metrics

Corners

Valencia

20

last 5 matches

Athletic

27

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Athletic received +35% more corners than Valencia in the last 5 matches.

Valencia and Athletic corners count, last 5 matches

▲

Racing Santander

3

Real Sociedad

7

Deportivo Alavés

5

Sevilla

4

Barcelona

1

5

Deportivo Alavés

7

Elche CF

3

Atlético Madrid

7

Celta de Vigo

5

Barcelona

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Key metrics

Cards

Valencia

12

last 5 matches

Athletic

10

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Valencia received +20% more cards than Athletic in the last 5 matches.

Valencia and Athletic cards count, last 5 matches

▲

Racing Santander

3

Real Sociedad

2

Deportivo Alavés

4

Sevilla

2

Barcelona

1

2

Deportivo Alavés

3

Elche CF

0

Atlético Madrid

3

Celta de Vigo

2

Barcelona

Dave Kuzio Content Manager

Dave is an established football tipster and NCTJ and NCE qualified journalist. He has over 23 years experience writing for sports websites including Teletext Sport, and providing betting tips for some of the biggest football betting sites. For his sins, he is a Barnsley FC supporter and gets to as many games as possible with his two sons.