Saturday, 24 October 2026 at 12:30
The encounter between Aston Villa and Manchester City is set to kick off at 12:30 on Saturday, 24/10.
This Premier League fixture offers an intriguing clash of form and tactics, with both sides eager to make a statement at this stage of the season.
Read our full prediction below and get some of the best betting insights based on statistics.
Our analysts at Betting.co.uk have examined key metrics and modelled the most likely match outcomes based on both teams' recent performance data.
This includes historical trends, home and away statistics, and efficiency in front of goal.
Have a look at our recommended bet and key insights below.
Recommended Bet Our selection is Over 4.5 Goals for the Aston Villa vs Manchester City matchup. We’re anticipating a wide-open game with attacking football on display from both sides. With plenty of creative talent and defensive gaps, five or more goals could easily be produced.
Over 4.5 Goals: 3/1
Stake £10.00 → Potential Return £40.00
Over 4.5 Goals
Why we predict over 4.5 Goals
Key Betting Insights
Aston Villa
Manchester City
Bet £10 Get £40
New customers only | T&Cs apply
Aston Villa has completed 7 fixtures in the Premier League, securing 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses — an average of 1.14 points per game. In the Premier League, the team has scored 7 goals (1 per game) and conceded 11 (1.57 per game).
Across all competitions this season, Aston Villa has played 67 matches, scoring 111 goals (1.66 per match) and conceding 78 (1.16 per match).
Team Statistics/Latest Results
Aston Villa to win the match: 7/2
Stake £10.00 → Potential Return £45.00
Aston Villa
Date
Game
Result
21/10
W
17/10
W
14/10
W
10/10
D
19/09
W
Across 7 Premier League matches, Manchester City has posted 7 victories, 0 stalemates, and 0 defeats, averaging 3 points per fixture. In those games they scored 19 (2.71 per match) and conceded 7 (1 per match).
During the whole 2026/27 campaign, Manchester City has earned 49 wins from 71 matches across all competitions, scoring 157 goals (2.21 per match) and conceding 68 (0.96 per match).
Team Statistics/Latest Results
Manchester City to win the match: 4/6
Stake £10.00 → Potential Return £16.67
Manchester City
Date
Game
Result
20/10
W
17/10
W
14/10
L
11/10
W
20/09
W
Here's a statistical breakdown comparing each team's key metrics to the average.
From goal output and both teams to score rates to the results of their last 5 matches, these numbers offer a data-backed view to help identify betting value in the Aston Villa vs Manchester City fixture.
Key metrics England - Premier League England - Premier LeagueTeam Form
Aston Villa
Form
Last 5 Games
PPG
Overall
W
W
W
D
W
2.6
Home
W
W
D
L
L
1.4
Away
W
W
W
W
D
2.6
Manchester City
Form
Last 5 Games
PPG
Overall
W
W
L
W
W
2.4
Home
W
W
L
W
W
2.4
Away
W
W
W
W
L
2.4
Here's a breakdown of the core match metrics that often define betting value: goals scored, goals conceded, corners and cards.
Analysing these stats offers a sharper view of team tendencies and helps identify markets with consistent trends.
Key metrics 15 last 5 matches 18 last 5 matches
Manchester City scored +20% more goals than Aston Villa in the last 5 matches.
Goals Scored
Aston Villa
Manchester City
Performance Gap
Viking
Newcastle United
Fenerbahçe
Brentford
Tottenham
Key metrics 5 last 5 matches 10 last 5 matches
Manchester City conceded +100% more goals than Aston Villa in the last 5 matches.
Goals Conceded
Aston Villa
Manchester City
Performance Gap
Viking
Newcastle United
Fenerbahçe
Brentford
Tottenham
Key metrics 25 last 5 matches 33 last 5 matches
Manchester City received +32% more corners than Aston Villa in the last 5 matches.
Corners
Aston Villa
Manchester City
Performance Gap
Viking
Newcastle United
Fenerbahçe
Brentford
Tottenham
Key metrics 6 last 5 matches 5 last 5 matches
Aston Villa received +20% more cards than Manchester City in the last 5 matches.
Cards
Aston Villa
Manchester City
Performance Gap
Viking
Newcastle United
Fenerbahçe
Brentford
Tottenham
Users must be 18+. If you are having trouble with gambling then help and advice can be found at begambleaware.org. Please Play Responsibly.