Everton vs Chelsea Prediction & Stats | Premier League | 17/10

The encounter between Everton and Chelsea is set to kick off at 12:30 on Saturday, 17/10.

This Premier League fixture offers an intriguing clash of form and tactics, with both sides eager to make a statement at this stage of the season.

Read our full prediction below and get some of the best betting insights based on statistics.

Our Recommended Bet

Our analysts at Betting.co.uk have examined key metrics and modelled the most likely match outcomes based on both teams' recent performance data.

This includes historical trends, home and away statistics, and efficiency in front of goal.

Have a look at our recommended bet and key insights below.

Recommended Bet

1st Half Under 0.5 Goals

Why we predict under 0.5 Goals in the first half

Our tip is First Half – Under 0.5 Goals for the Everton vs Chelsea fixture.

We foresee a cautious opening, with both teams feeling each other out and avoiding early risks. A goalless first half is a realistic outcome here.

Key Betting Insights

Everton

• 13 matches against Chelsea ended in a draw
• Scored 6 goals in their last 5 matches
• Undefeated in their last 5 clashes

Chelsea

• Scored 14 goals in their last 5 matches
• 13 matches against Everton ended in a draw
• Conceded in 5 of their last 5 matches

1st Half Under 0.5 Goals: 5/2

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Match Result

1x2 Odds Comparison

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
	2/1	13/5	23/20	8/13	6/5
	2/1	5/2	21/20	8/13	23/20
	9/4	11/4	5/4	4/6	6/5
	11/5	11/4	11/10	4/6	6/5

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Everton Preview

Everton has completed 6 fixtures in the Premier League, securing 2 wins, 4 draws, and 0 losses — an average of 1.67 points per game. In the Premier League, the team has scored 8 goals (1.33 per game) and conceded 5 (0.83 per game).

Across all competitions this season, Everton has played 49 matches, scoring 63 goals (1.29 per match) and conceding 58 (1.18 per match).

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Everton

Goals Scored: 63

Goals Conceded: 58

Average Goals Scored: 1.29

Average Goals Conceded: 1.18

Wins: 18

Goal Difference: 5

Date	Game	Result
11/10	Hull City 2 - 2 Everton	D
19/09	Everton 1 - 0 Ipswich Town	W
16/09	Everton 1 - 0 Wolverhampton	W
12/09	Tottenham 0 - 0 Everton	D
06/09	Everton 2 - 2 Manchester United	D

Everton to win the match: 2/1

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Chelsea Preview

Across 6 Premier League matches, Chelsea has posted 3 victories, 1 stalemates, and 2 defeats, averaging 1.67 points per fixture. In those games they scored 15 (2.5 per match) and conceded 13 (2.17 per match).

During the whole 2026/27 campaign, Chelsea has earned 32 wins from 67 matches across all competitions, scoring 132 goals (1.97 per match) and conceding 99 (1.48 per match).

Team Statistics/Latest Results

Chelsea

Goals Scored: 132

Goals Conceded: 99

Average Goals Scored: 1.97

Average Goals Conceded: 1.48

Wins: 32

Goal Difference: 33

Date	Game	Result
10/10	Chelsea 5 - 1 Bournemouth	W
18/09	Brentford 3 - 0 Chelsea	L
12/09	Chelsea 2 - 2 Hull City	D
09/09	Chelsea 6 - 3 Leeds	W
06/09	Arsenal 2 - 1 Chelsea	L

Chelsea to win the match: 23/20

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Statistical Insights for Everton vs Chelsea

Here's a statistical breakdown comparing each team's key metrics to the average.

From goal output and both teams to score rates to the results of their last 5 matches, these numbers offer a data-backed view to help identify betting value in the Everton vs Chelsea fixture.

Key metrics

Team Form

Everton

England - Premier League

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	D W W D D	1.8
Home	W W D W L	2
Away	D D D W L	1.2

Chelsea

England - Premier League

Form	Last 5 Games	PPG
Overall	W L D W L	1.4
Home	W D W W W	2.6
Away	L L W L D	0.8

Home Win

9/4

30.3%

Draw

13/5

27.4%

Favourite

Away Win

5/4

44.25%

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Key Metrics

Here's a breakdown of the core match metrics that often define betting value: goals scored, goals conceded, corners and cards.

Analysing these stats offers a sharper view of team tendencies and helps identify markets with consistent trends.

Key metrics

Goals Scored

Everton

6

last 5 matches

Chelsea

14

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Chelsea scored +133% more goals than Everton in the last 5 matches.

Everton and Chelsea goals scored count, last 5 matches

▲

Hull City

2

Ipswich Town

1

Wolverhampton

1

Tottenham

0

Manchester United

2

5

Bournemouth

0

Brentford

2

Hull City

6

Leeds

1

Arsenal

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Key metrics

Goals Conceded

Everton

4

last 5 matches

Chelsea

11

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Chelsea conceded +175% more goals than Everton in the last 5 matches.

Everton and Chelsea goals conceded count, last 5 matches

▲

Hull City

2

Ipswich Town

0

Wolverhampton

0

Tottenham

0

Manchester United

2

1

Bournemouth

3

Brentford

2

Hull City

3

Leeds

2

Arsenal

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Key metrics

Corners

Everton

26

last 5 matches

Chelsea

29

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Chelsea received +12% more corners than Everton in the last 5 matches.

Everton and Chelsea corners count, last 5 matches

▲

Hull City

6

Ipswich Town

4

Wolverhampton

6

Tottenham

6

Manchester United

4

1

Bournemouth

12

Brentford

10

Hull City

3

Leeds

3

Arsenal

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Key metrics

Cards

Everton

8

last 5 matches

Chelsea

6

last 5 matches

Performance Gap

Everton received +33% more cards than Chelsea in the last 5 matches.

Everton and Chelsea cards count, last 5 matches

▲

Hull City

0

Ipswich Town

2

Wolverhampton

1

Tottenham

2

Manchester United

3

0

Bournemouth

0

Brentford

1

Hull City

1

Leeds

4

Arsenal

Dave Kuzio Content Manager

Dave is an established football tipster and NCTJ and NCE qualified journalist. He has over 23 years experience writing for sports websites including Teletext Sport, and providing betting tips for some of the biggest football betting sites. For his sins, he is a Barnsley FC supporter and gets to as many games as possible with his two sons.